Publications

Book Chapters

Weigel, A.P. 2011. Verification of Ensemble Forecasts. In: Forecast Verification: A Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science [eds. I.T. Jolliffe and D.B. Stephenson]. 2nd edition. John Wiley & Sons Ltd., ISBN: 978-0-470-66071-3, 141-166

Weigel, A.P. and A.M. Fischer (lead-authors), Appenzeller, C. and M.A. Liniger (contributing authors). 2011. Climate scenarios of seasonal means. In: CH2011: Swiss Climate Change Scenarios, Published by C2SM, MeteoSwiss, ETH, NCCR Climate, and OcCC. ISBN-978-3-033-03065-7, 28-39 (download pdf)

Appenzeller C., Weigel A.P., Begert M., Scherrer S.C., Croci-Maspoli M., Seiz G., Foppa N. and A. Rubli. 2009. Challenges for the climate services in Switzerland. In: World Meteorological Organization - Climate Sense. Tudor Rose, Leicester, ISBN-978-92-63-11043-5, 77-79

Weigel A.P., Chow F.K. and M.W. Rotach. 2007. The effect of mountainous topography on moisture exchange between the "surface" and the free atmosphere. In: Baklanov A, Grisogono B (Eds): 2007, Atmospheric Boundary Layers - Nature, Theory and Application to Environmental Modelling and Security. Springer, ISBN-978-0-387- 74318-9, 71-88

Journal Papers (Peer-Reviewed)

Ebert, B., Wilson, L., Weigel, A.P., Nurmi, P., Gill, P., Gröber, M., Joslyn, S., Brown, B., Fowler, T., and A. Watkins. 2013. Progress and challenges in forecast verification,Meteorol. Appl. 20,130-139

Weigel,A.P. 2012. Verifikation von Ensemblevorhersagen,Promet 37 3/4, 31-42

Hirschi, M., Spirig, C., Weigel, A.P., Calanca, P., Samietz, J., and M.W. Rotach. 2012. Monthly weather forecasts in a pest forecasting context: Downscaling, recalibration and skill improvement, J. Appl. Met. Clim. 51,1633-1638

Gangstø, R., Weigel, A.P., Liniger, M.A., and C. Appenzeller. 2012. Methodological aspects of the evaluation of decadal predictions, Clim. Res. 55,181-200

Fischer, A.M., Weigel, A.P., Buser, C.M., Knutti, R., Künsch, H.R., Liniger, M.A., Schär, C., and C. Appenzeller. 2011. Climate change projections for Switzerland based on a Bayesian multi-model approach. Int. J. Clim. DOI: 10.1002/joc.3396

Mason, S.J., Tippett, M.K., Weigel, A.P., Goddard, L., and B. Rajaratnam. 2011. Reply to "Comment on 'Conditional Exceedance Probabilities'". Mon. Wea. Rev. 139, 3325-3327

Weigel A.P. and S.J. Mason. 2011. The Generalized Discrimination Score for ensemble forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev. 139, 3069-3074

Calanca P., Bolius D., Weigel A.P. and M.A. Liniger. 2010. Application of long-range weather forecasts to agricultural decision problems in Europe. Journal of Agricultural Science. 149, 15-22

Weigel A.P., Knutti R., Liniger M.A. and C. Appenzeller. 2010. Risks of model-weighting in multimodel climate projections. J. Clim. 23, 4175-4191

Weigel A.P., Liniger M.A. and C. Appenzeller. 2009. Seasonal ensemble forecasts: Are recalibrated single models better than multimodels? Mon. Wea. Rev. 137, 1460-1479

Weigel A.P. and N.E. Bowler 2009. Comment on “Can multi-model combination really enhance the prediction skill of probabilistic ensemble forecasts?” Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc. 135, 535-539

Mason S.J. and A.P. Weigel. 2009. A generic forecast verification framework for administrative purposes. Mon. Wea. Rev. 137, 331-349

Weigel A.P., Baggenstos D., Liniger M.A., Vitart F. and C. Appenzeller. 2008. Probabilistic verification of monthly temperature forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev. 136, 5162-5182

Weigel A.P., Liniger M.A. and C. Appenzeller. 2008. Can multi-model combination really enhance the prediction skill of probabilistic ensemble forecasts? Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc. 134, 241-260

Ferro C.A.T., Richardson D.S. and A.P. Weigel. 2008. On the effect of ensemble size on the ranked probability and multi-category Brier scores. Met. Apps. 15, 19-24

Rotach M.W., Andretta M., Calanca P., Weigel A.P. and A. Weiss. 2008. Turbulence characteristics and exchange mechanisms in highly complex terrain. Acta Geophysicae 56, 194-219

Weigel A.P., Chow F.K. and M.W. Rotach. 2007. The effect of mountainous topography on moisture exchange between the "surface" and the free atmosphere. Bound.-Layer Meteorol. 125, 227-244

Weigel A.P., Liniger M.A. and C. Appenzeller. 2007. Generalization of the discrete Brier and ranked probability skill scores for weighted multi-model ensemble forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev. 135, 2778-2785

Weigel A.P., Liniger M.A. and C. Appenzeller. 2007. The discrete Brier and ranked probability skill scores. Mon. Wea. Rev. 135, 118-124

Weigel A.P., Chow F.K. and M.W. Rotach. 2007. On the nature of turbulent kinetic energy in a steep and narrow Alpine valley. Bound.-Layer Meteorol. 123, 177-199

Chow F.K., Weigel A.P., Street R.L., Rotach M.W. and M. Xue. 2006. High-resolution large-eddy simulations of flow in a steep Alpine valley. Part I: Methodology, verification and sensitivity experiments. J. Appl. Meteorol. Clim. 45, 63-86

Weigel A.P., Chow F.K., Rotach M.W., Street R.L. and M. Xue. 2006. High-resolution large-eddy simulations of flow in a steep Alpine valley. Part II: Flow structure and heat budgets. J. Appl. Meteorol. Clim. 45, 87-107

Weigel A.P. and M.W. Rotach. 2004. Flow structure and turbulence characteristics of the daytime atmosphere in a steep and narrow Alpine valley. Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 130, 2605-2628

Peller M., Reinl H.M., Weigel A., Meininger M., Issels R.D. and M. Reiser. 2002. T1- relaxation time at 0.2 Tesla for monitoring regional hyperthermia: Feasibility study in muscle and adipose tissue. Magnetic Resonance in Medicine, 47(6), 1194-1201

Theses

Weigel A.P., 2005. On the atmospheric boundary layer over highly complex topography. Diss. ETH No. 15972. PhD-Thesis.

Weigel A.P., 2001. In vivo Temperaturbestimmung mit Hilfe der T1-Relaxationzeit in der Kernspin-Tomographie. Diploma thesis.

Reports and Conference Proceedings (Selection)

Weigel A.P. 2011. Multimodels on seasonal and multidecadal time-scales. Proceedings of the ECMWF Workshop on Representing Model Uncertainty and error in numerical weather and climate prediction models, Reading, UK, 20-24 June 2011. 151-162

Weigel A.P. 2010. Risks of model weighting in multi-model climate projections. Meeting Report of the IPCC Expert Meeting on Assessing and Combining Multi Model Climate Projections, Boulder, USA, 25-27 Jan 2010. 103-104

Weigel A.P. 2009. On the route to more reliable seasonal ensemble forecasts. ProClim Flash No. 46. p.10

Weigel A.P., Liniger M.A. and C. Appenzeller 2009. Weighting multi-models in seasonal forecasting - and what can be learnt for the combination of RCMs. Proceedings of the 2nd Lund Regional-scale climate modelling workshop: 21st Century Challenges in Regional-scale Climate Modelling, Lund, Sweden, 4-8 May 2009. 152-153

Weigel A.P. 2008. Verbesserung saisonaler Prognosen durch Multimodelle und Rekalibrierung. In: Saisonale Vorhersagesysteme in Meteorologie und Hydrologie. Veranstaltungen 4/2008 der Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde. 44-52

Schmuki D. and A.P. Weigel. 2006. Saisonale Vorhersage in Tradition und Moderne: Vergleich der “Sommerprognose” des Zürcher Bööggs mit einem dynchamischen Klimamodell. Arbeitsberichte der MeteoSchweiz, 214, 42 pp.